Jump to content

Saison Cyclonique 2016


Mizar

Recommended Posts

Pour ajouter au sujet, je crois qu'il faudra aussi surveiller ceci vu la nouveauté de la chose et probablement unique dans l'histoire. Reste à voir si cela aura une influence.

 

 

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/cold-blob-to-be-wildcard-la-nina-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast-2016/56491288

Edited by dave20
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pour ajouter au sujet, je crois qu'il faudra aussi surveiller ceci vu la nouveauté de la chose et probablement unique dans l'histoire. Reste à voir si cela aura une influence.

 

 

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/cold-blob-to-be-wildcard-la-nina-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast-2016/56491288

 

Les prochains et prochains mois seront plaisant a voir venir sur plusieurs tableaux.  Il y a beaucoup d'anomalie(s) diverses au menu dont l'AMO que tu fais mention.  

 

:bye:

Edited by Mizar
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Il semblerait que cette saison-ci soit moins active que la normale et le responsable pourrait en être ce fameux "Cold blob" d'anomalie froide situé dans l'atlantique nord qui pourrait avoir comme effet de modifier les caractéristiques d'un principal courant marin. https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3279

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Il semblerait que cette saison-ci soit moins active que la normale et le responsable pourrait en être ce fameux "Cold blob" d'anomalie froide situé dans l'atlantique nord qui pourrait avoir comme effet de modifier les caractéristiques d'un principal courant marin. https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3279

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...
  • 3 weeks later...

Hors sujet un peu mais aime tu leur nouveau site toi ? Moi vraiment pas.

 

Allo Dave !  

 

Je ne l'ai que découvert en mettant le lien hier soir concernant mon message...  je vais le parcourir plus ce soir à mon retour .

 

Mais si déjà que tu me confirme que c'est ordinaire et bien, cela me donne déjà un bon aperçu.     :bye:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

La saison débute ''officiellement'' mercredi le 1 juin de la semaine prochaine, alors pourquoi ne pas commencer en plein action ?

 

L'action se dessine justement en début de saison.  Ayez un oeil sur ceci...  :-)

post-204-0-54486200-1464007820_thumb.png

post-204-0-85769100-1464007828_thumb.jpg

post-204-0-83160800-1464007837_thumb.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Il est claire que les conditions sont favorables -

 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
150 PM AST THU MAY 26 2016

 

Over the weekend and into early next week...the deep layered trough
is forecast to become amplified over the Bahamas and Cuba through
the weekend. This will support better moisture transport across
the east and northeastern Caribbean. By Sunday and into early
next...week upper ridge aloft is forecast to erode as the deepening
trough will sink southwards across Hispaniola and the Mona Passage.
Recent model guidance continued to suggest a wetter pattern during
the latter portion of the weekend as the upper trough amplifies
over the Greater Antilles. This scenario will lead to deep tropical
moisture transport across the local area.

The expected high moisture pooling combined with favorable upper
level conditions will increase the potential for enhanced and organized
convection across the forecast area... especially Sunday and into early
next week. This expected moist weather pattern is all dependent on how
the expected weather pattern unfolds over the western Atlantic during
the next few days. Regardless... all models suggest a much wetter pattern
during the latter part of the Memorial day weekend.

Edited by Pooram
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Il est claire que les conditions sont favorables -

 

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Juan PR

150 PM AST THU MAY 26 2016

 

Over the weekend and into early next week...the deep layered trough

is forecast to become amplified over the Bahamas and Cuba through

the weekend. This will support better moisture transport across

the east and northeastern Caribbean. By Sunday and into early

next...week upper ridge aloft is forecast to erode as the deepening

trough will sink southwards across Hispaniola and the Mona Passage.

Recent model guidance continued to suggest a wetter pattern during

the latter portion of the weekend as the upper trough amplifies

over the Greater Antilles. This scenario will lead to deep tropical

moisture transport across the local area.

 

The expected high moisture pooling combined with favorable upper

level conditions will increase the potential for enhanced and organized

convection across the forecast area... especially Sunday and into early

next week. This expected moist weather pattern is all dependent on how

the expected weather pattern unfolds over the western Atlantic during

the next few days. Regardless... all models suggest a much wetter pattern

during the latter part of the Memorial day weekend.

 

Bon matin !!!

 

Absolument Bruno et 91L devrait passer au stade de tempête tropicale d'ici la journée pour ensuite devenir Bonnie  ?... huumm!

 

A surveiller aussi vers le 4 juin...  il se dessine du mouvement encore par la-bas.

 

:bye:

Edited by Mizar
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Les prévisions :

 

Et une présentation/ explication à propot de l'immeuble fédéral inauguré en 2007. etc..

 

U.S. Meteorologists briefed reporters on the 2016 hurricane season outlook.

 

http://www.c-span.org/video/?410239-1/noaa-officials-brief-reporters-2016-hurricane-season

Edited by Pooram
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...