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Activité tropicale et saison des Ouragans 2017


Mizar

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Il y a encore un invest dans l'Atlantique (92L)

 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 175 miles north-northeast of the Turks and
Caicos Islands have increased overnight. Although the system is
producing wind gusts to near tropical-storm force, satellite
imagery suggests that it lacks a well-defined center. Upper-level
winds are forecast to remain marginally conducive for some
additional development during the next day or so while the system
moves generally northward. Conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for further development by Wednesday when the
disturbance merges with a frontal system over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown

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Il y a encore un invest dans l'Atlantique (92L)

 

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

 

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

 

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low

pressure located about 175 miles north-northeast of the Turks and

Caicos Islands have increased overnight. Although the system is

producing wind gusts to near tropical-storm force, satellite

imagery suggests that it lacks a well-defined center. Upper-level

winds are forecast to remain marginally conducive for some

additional development during the next day or so while the system

moves generally northward. Conditions are expected to become

unfavorable for further development by Wednesday when the

disturbance merges with a frontal system over the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

 

Forecaster Brown

 

Et fort possiblement, pas le dernier. La saison risque de s'étirer assez loin.  :-)

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  • 3 weeks later...

Ça va plutôt donner une bonne tempête sur l'Europe, fin novembre - début décembre c'est assez fréquent (début décembre 1986, le toit de la maison chez nous avait même été arraché par une bonne rafale de vent)

 

En 1999 aussi si ma mémoire est bonne ça avait brassé.

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