Pooram Posted June 23, 2019 Report Share Posted June 23, 2019 Si il y a déja un sujet, S.V.P. transférez. .FROM 03N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL..24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR12N100W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06N90WTO 10N89W TO 12N92W TO 13N97W TO 10N104W TO 07N100W TO 06N90WWINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL..48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR14N104W 1005 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLEWINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. WITHIN 90NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELLZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 AM PDT Sun Jun 23 2019For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundredmiles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated witha tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive forgradual development of this system during the next several days,and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of theweek while the system moves west-northwestward away from the coastof Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted June 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 23, 2019 Ça s'organise - Il n'y a que l'EURO qui fait rien avec ça... Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 23 2019For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Gulf ofTehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradualdevelopment of this system during the next few days, and a tropicaldepression is likely to form by the middle of the week while thesystem moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.$$Forecaster Zelinsky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted June 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 https://cyclonicwx.com/sat/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted June 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 PM PDT Mon Jun 24 2019For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:1. Satellite imagery indciates that a broad area of low pressure hasformed in association with the tropical wave located a few hundredmiles south of the southern coast of Mexico, and that theaccompanying shower activity is showing signs of organization.Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradualdevelopment of this system, and a tropical depression is likely toform within the next few days while the system moveswest-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.Forecaster Beven Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave20 Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 C'est du jamais vu depuis l'ere des satellites une période aussi longue sans activité tropicale sur la totalité du globe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 C'est du jamais vu depuis l'ere des satellites une période aussi longue sans activité tropicale sur la totalité du globe. Bon matin !!! Effectivement, mis a part Vayu (point vert) c'est le calme plat. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted June 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 Pour le moment celle ci devient un dépression Tropical... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted June 26, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 26, 2019 Donc on a Alvin... FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 26/1500Z 14.7N 109.4W 35 KT 40 MPH12H 27/0000Z 14.7N 111.4W 45 KT 50 MPH24H 27/1200Z 15.0N 113.7W 45 KT 50 MPH36H 28/0000Z 15.7N 115.8W 45 KT 50 MPH48H 28/1200Z 16.4N 117.7W 40 KT 45 MPH72H 29/1200Z 17.4N 121.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW96H 30/1200Z 18.0N 124.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW120H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED$$Forecaster Latto/Brennan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted June 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 28, 2019 Alvin ouragan 1 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 28/0300Z 17.4N 115.4W 65 KT 75 MPH12H 28/1200Z 18.7N 117.1W 60 KT 70 MPH24H 29/0000Z 20.1N 119.1W 45 KT 50 MPH36H 29/1200Z 20.9N 120.6W 35 KT 40 MPH48H 30/0000Z 21.5N 121.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW72H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED$$Forecaster Pasch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted July 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 2, 2019 Barbara Cat. 4 et peut être 5 bientôt 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 2, 2019 Report Share Posted July 2, 2019 Barbara Cat. 4 et peut être 5 bientôt Dans toute sa splendeur.... https://whirlwind.aos.wisc.edu/~wxp/goes17/grb/meso_vis/meso1_30.html 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted July 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 8, 2019 Cette fois ci et comme le mentionnait Erick, ça commence sur la terre ferme; enfin "commence"... façon de parler... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 8, 2019 Report Share Posted July 8, 2019 Cette fois ci et comme le mentionnait Erick, ça commence sur la terre ferme; enfin "commence"... façon de parler... Bonjour Bruno ! La trajectoire de Barry selon le dernier Euro.... Encore chapeau à ce modèle d'avoir vu cette possible météo bien avant le ''nouveau super GFS'' et bien d'autres. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 8, 2019 Report Share Posted July 8, 2019 (edited) Et pour rejoindre Bruno, un peu hors norme comme trajectoire et développement. Edited July 8, 2019 by Mizar 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted July 9, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 (edited) En fait il va passer suffisamment de temps sur l'eau pour produire un ouragan avec plus de 50 centimètres de pluie pour bien des endroits sur la côte. La circulation sur la côte du pacifique va peut être le garder au large un bon moment ... Développement dans 5 jours ; 80% Edited July 9, 2019 by Pooram Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EricB Posted July 9, 2019 Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 Bizarre je regarde l'image satellite et il n'y a rien...aucune perturbation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 9, 2019 Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 (edited) Bon matin !!!! Les vestiges de Barry venant à nous ??? Faudra voir ! J'ai mis un (?) au sens si cela tenait la route comme possibilité, car c'est bel et bien Barry. Edited July 9, 2019 by Mizar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EricB Posted July 9, 2019 Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 Bon matin !!!! Les vestiges de Barry venant à nous ??? Faudra voir ! J'ai mis un (?) au sens si cela tenait la route comme possibilité, car c'est bel et bien Barry.La meteo me surprend des fois... Et en passant je ne savais même pas qu'on avait déjà eu Andréa... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wave Posted July 9, 2019 Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 La meteo me surprend des fois... Et en passant je ne savais même pas qu'on avait déjà eu Andréa...Moi non plus. Pour nos archives, Andrea a seulement atteint le stade de "subtropical storm". Il a été de courte durée et est passé relativement inaperçu. Quant à Alvin, c'était dans le Pacifique est. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pooram Posted July 9, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 L'action commence; Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 9, 2019 Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 L'action commence; Oui oui !!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 9, 2019 Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 La meteo me surprend des fois... Et en passant je ne savais même pas qu'on avait déjà eu Andréa... Disons qu'elle n'a pas passer à l'histoire.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 10, 2019 Report Share Posted July 10, 2019 Bon matin !!! Les dernières trajectoires possible.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mizar Posted July 10, 2019 Report Share Posted July 10, 2019 (+-) 96 heures..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EricB Posted July 10, 2019 Report Share Posted July 10, 2019 Météo média annonce que les résidus de Barry affronteront le Québec!!! Donc Il y aura officiellement la tempête Barry!!! Surprenant a ce temps-ci de l'année!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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