iceberg

montreal-est Nuageux avec éclaircies -3.3c 9:44 am montreal-east partly cloudy -3.3c 9:44 am

montreal-est Généralement nuageux 0.5c 5:53pm montreal-east mostly cloudy 0.5c 5:53pm

montreal-est Généralement nuageux 3.6c 3:50pm montreal-east Mostly Cloudy 3.6c 3:50pm

radar indicates cold air aloft over central laval moving south east toward montreal east and the reason behind the thunder.

montreal-est faible pluie avec orage 3.4c 6:02pm montreal-east light rain with thunder 3.4c 6:02pm

montreal-est Grésil avec pluie faible -0.2c 2:18am montreal-east ice pellets with light rain -0.2c 2:18am

montreal-est Neige faible -0.4c 11:01pm montreal-east light snow -0.4c 11:01pm

montreal-est Neige faible -0.2c 9:48pm montreal-east light snow -0.2c 9:48pm

montreal-est Nuageux 1.7c 5:54pm montreal-east cloudy 1.7c 5:54pm

montreal-est Bruine faible 2.2c 5.23pm

montreal-est Pluie faible 0.9c 7:46pm

montreal -est Neige légère 0.4c 3:35pm

montreal -est Neige légère -1.3c 10:45pm

des chances pour un nor easter ??? a 10 jours !!!!

in general ..... Globally October in most data bases maintained about the same level as September with one glaring exception, Hansens NASA GISS. There may be a second high value in the next few weeks, NOAA GHCN shares many of the same data points and adjustments or lack thereof will probably come in on the high side. Hadley Centre also will not report also for another week. It has remained more in line with the satellite in recent years. The data bases all have different base periods, which contribute to the relative differences. NASA uses the coldest base period 1951 to 1980, Hadley the second coldest 1961 to 1990, UAH and RSS MSU the warmest 1979 to 1998. It was mild in parts of southeast Europe and Asia in October. The arctic ice developed at a record pace in October, but snowcover was slow to increase until the last week. It has now quickly expanded to just above the normal for the hemisphere for the date. The plot of temperatures since 2002 is remarkable for the departures shown. NASA GISS is a full degree F warmer than the satellite measurements, which continue the downtrend of 0.2C since 2002. Even with the bogus warmth, GISS depicts a small downtrend.

GISS Releases (Suspect) October 2008 Data here is the link.... http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/10/giss...ober-2008-data/

Did Napoleon Use Hansen's Temperature Data? here is the link ... http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=4318

just in .... Update: Thanks to an email from John S. - a patron of climateaudit.org - we have learned that the Russian data in NOAA�s GHCN v2.mean dataset is corrupted. For most (if not all) stations in Russia, the September data has been replicated as October data, artificially raising the October temperature many degrees. The data from NOAA is used by GISS to calculate the global temperature. Thus the record-setting anomaly for October 2008 is invalid and we await the highly-publicised corrections from NOAA and GISS.

2008 set to be about 10th warmest year: expert here is the link .... http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersEdge...E4AA6MV20081111

Current & Recent NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Snowcover Statistics here is the link.... http://moe.met.fsu.edu/snow/

October was a cold month in many areas of the east and central states. For the nation as a whole, the average October temperature of 54.5 degrees F was 0.3 degree F below the 20th Century average, based on preliminary data.

NOAA shows the first ten months of the year were cold over many areas of the country from the Northwest to the Central States. Above normal temperatures were confined to sections of the east and southwest.

As i forcasted in August EL NINO will not form this winter as some readers say it will. I expect a very cold start to the winter season then return to normal in January and back to very cold in Feburary and March. As for precip for the winter season expect normal to above normal snowfall .

Nov 07, 2008 Another Cold December to March for Many Locations By Joseph DAleo, CCM, AMS Fellow La Nina is gradually returning. The Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) has dropped to -0.74 in October, well into weak La Nina territory. The tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures all the way from South America to beyond the dateline are back below normal. The North Pacific as a whole remains strongly in the cold mode (negative PDO). The Atlantic is weakly in its warm mode (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation is positive). The sun recently showing slight signs of life is still at solar minimum levels. The winds in the stratosphere over the tropical Pacific are blowing anomalously westerly) in their Quasi Biennial Oscillation. All these conditions point to another cold winter in all but the southeastern United States, most of central and western Canada, most of western Europe, eastern and southern Asia. Expect a coolish summer in South Africa, Indonesia and South America and parts of New Zealand and Australia. We are already seeing early cold and snow in the northern Rockies and Plains and even in the UK. Cold weather appears to be in the cards for eastern Asia the next week or two. Blocking high pressure seen above in first figure in the North Atlantic is what will keep northwest Europe and the eastern United States cold. Snow should be heaviest relative to normal from the northern and central Rockies, northern and central Plains, Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and southeastern New England. Snow to north should be less than last year but snowcover will be most persistent there. WHAT TO WATCH FOR: Should La Nina become stronger than expected, the southeast warmth will be more pervasive and extend further north and west the second half of winter. That is the classic pattern in west QBO La Ninas. However, most strong La Ninas as was the case last winter reprise in a weakened form the second winter especially if they weakened as much a this one did during the intervening summer. The maps about are based on that assumption.

diff from last years ice pack here is the link .... http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/cgi-bin/test/p...1&sd=07&sy=2008